Elon Musk Is Still Working on a ‘Game Plan’ for Going to Mars

Elon Musk has had a tough couple years right here on Earth, so it is maybe unsurprising that he is nonetheless seeking to relocate to Mars, and also you may be capable of come alongside for the trip.

In response to a tweet that teased SpaceX’s Starship because the rocket that can “take us to Mars,” Musk stated “we’re mapping out a recreation plan to get one million individuals to Mars.”

“Civilization only passes the single-planet Great Filter when Mars can survive even if Earth supply ships stop coming,” he adds.

The Great Filter, from economist Robin Hanson, is the idea that a species ultimately faces a barrier to survival, whether external, like an asteroid wiping out all of life, or internal, like all-out nuclear war.

Musk posits that the only way for humans to pass the single-planet Great Filter is to colonize Mars to such an extent that people there would survive even if supplies stopped coming from Earth. Of course, SpaceX needs to get a starship to the planet first, and the logistics have been a bit tricky.

SpaceX is currently testing its starship prototype, which had a shaky launch final 12 months following what SpaceX referred to as a “speedy disassembly” in its preliminary check in early 2023. (Translation: it exploded.

Mars has been a frequent subject for Musk courting again practically a decade. Years in the past, Musk said that the primary missions to Mars would happen in 2024 or 2025. Since then, the timeline has shifted barely, with the brand new estimate being someday earlier than the top of the last decade.

The last word purpose is to have a metropolis on Mars by roughly 2040. Musk’s plans embody over 1,000 starships to move one million tons of cargo to the planet, which he hopes will make the primary metropolis sustainable in the course of the two years that Earth and Mars will not be in alignment. With a sustainable metropolis, individuals may begin transferring there en masse, which Musk believes will price anyplace from $100,000 to $500,000 per journey, relying on how many individuals need to make the journey.

Musk says the chances of him transferring to Mars sit at a strong 70%. Nonetheless, with the present timeline, Musk will probably be properly into his 70s by the point the entire items are in place.


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